The Professor: The Joker is Wild

Commanders going down to Dallas this weekend. They clinched a playoff spot. With a win they could lock up the 6th seed.

Washington is a 4 point favorite. The over/under is 44. The Over is 11-5 in both Cowboy and Commanders games this year. Dallas is 4-1 the last five games against the Commanders including a 34-26 victory in D.C. earlier this year. Cowboys are 2-6 at home and have closed their away season at 5-3. Dallas likes going on tour.

According to si.com, the Skins are 10-5-1 against the spread this year. Dallas is 6-10.

Washington closes its season at home with a 7-2 winning record and can clinch a winning road record with a dub at Jerry World.

Washington scores 28.9 points a game. They surrender 23.3. Dallas scores 20.7 a game. They give up 27.8. That averages to Washington 28.4, Dallas 22. Ceding the traditional field goal to the home team, you get either Commanders 28.4, Dallas 25 or Commanders 25.4, Dallas 22. Both scores are over 44. In both outcomes, Dallas covers.

Washington runs for 156 a game. Cowboys cough up 138 a game. Washington throws for 219 a game. Dallas allows 227 a game. 

Dallas runs for 97 a game. Washington gives up 136 a contest. Dallas passes for 222 yards a game. Washington gives up 187 a matchup.

Dallas ran for 91 and passed for 247 in the first game. Washington ran for 145 and passed for 275. Dallas won time of possession and the turnover battle. KaVontae Turpin had 4 kick returns for 179 yards with one spanning 99 yards for the touch. 

There are confounding variables of a non-numerical nature. Motivation for the Dallas-Washington finale is once again ambiguous. If you remember, the Cowboys a few years ago had also clinched the playoffs. Their only motivation was to add a little window dressing to their status with a longshot acquisition of a higher seed. In their confusion, they lost 26-6.

Washington is in a similar no man's land. 

The Dallas Fan Base would love to see a fifty burger hung up on Dan Quinn as many of them see Quinn as the reason Dallas did not go to the Super Bowl last year. Ironically, the man Dallas Fans most want out of Dallas is Jerry Jones, who no doubt sees dollar signs in one Jayden Daniels and would enjoy displaying said Daniels's Pelt on his wall to galvanize investment in the Cowboys. 

The Joker is wild. And Jones is the Joker in this poker game. He will find a way to get in on any deal he thinks will make him some money and beating Jayden would do that. He's done it once and wants to do it again. And he does it in grand style. In a supersized way. For Jerry, a thorough whupping of the wannabe Commanders would be a delicious sugar substitute for the Lombardi Trophy.

Because of Quinn's involvement, Dallas Fans find themselves in rare agreement with the Ring Master.

They both would enjoy the hell out of making Quinn and the Commanders out to be frauds.

With the Eagles digging deep the coffin on the Commanders the following week in a Winter is Coming concrete galoshes type game.

But I'll go Commanders 25, Dallas 22. They win. Dallas covers.

Jayden and Magic get a homecoming game in LA. 

Which also makes Jerry and Roger Goodell money.