This week the Commanders take the field against the Philadelphia Eagles tomorrow night at 8:15.
Here's Pro Football Reference\s Game Preview.
Eagles have a 3-1 home record. Washington posts a 3-2 road record. The much ballyhooed extravaganza is at Lincoln Financial Field.
The Commanders cough up 21.7 ppg which is still 12th despite the bloat. Philly relinquishes 17.9 ppg, Number Five League Wide. Commanders Defense is 28th versus the run surrending 142 a contest. Philly is Fifth in the League allowing an even One Hundred a matchup.
Both defenses are in the Top Five in the League against the pass. Washington is No. 5. Philly is No. 3.
Washington scores 29 a game on Offense while Philly scores 25.9, third and seventh in the League respectively.
Washington is 7-3 against the Spread. Philadelphia is 5-4.
Philadelphia is a 3.5 point favorite at Home. Yet, the Public, per Wunderdog, is slightly favoring the Commanders at 51%. The over under is 48.5. Wunderdog's computer picks Philadelphia, with the Birds winning 27.1 to 21.9. The Eagles have a 67% chance to win.
The average score of the last five games is Philly 27.4, Washington 23.6, favoring Philly to cover and favoring the over. The result of averaging the average points scored and allowed features Philly 23.8, Washington 23.4. Adding a Philly home field field goal, you nearly get the spread at 3.4 points. But definitely an OT possibility.
In 2021, Dan Quinn's first as Cowboy Defensive Coordinator and Nick Sirianni's first as Eagle Head Coach, the Cowboys swept the Eagles 41-21 and 51-26. Eagles ran for just 64 yards the first game but 149 in the second game.
In 2022, the Eagles split with the Cowboys, winning the first game 26-17 while rushing for 136. The Birds lost the second game 40-34 with the Cowboys doing better against the run holding Philly to 87 yards.
In 2023 came another split with the Cowboys. The Birds won the first game 28-23, netting 109 yards on the ground. Dallas pounded Philly 33-13 in the rematch while holding the Eagles to 106 yards on the ground.
Commanders assistant Brian Johnson was the Eagle Offensive Coordinator for the 2023 squad. The Eagles replaced both coordinators from 2023. The new OC is Kellen Moore who served the same capacity with the Cowboys in 2021 and 22 when Dan Quinn was Cowboy Defensive Guru.
The New Defensive Coordinator needs no introduction.
Kliff Kingsbury's Arizona Cardinals lost to Sirianni's Eagles 17-20 in 2022. The Cardinals ran 26 times and threw 42 times. They had 23 first downs and converted 8 of 14 third downs.
The last four games the Eagles are averaging 213.5 yards rushing. The Commanders are averaging giving up 150.2 yards a contest. So Eagles fans expect 182 on the ground for the contest.
Washington fans are concerned about the Eagle passing game. However, the Birds won one game this year with only 70 yards passing, netting 269 yards on the ground against the New York Football Giants.
The Eagles rollicking running game and home field advantage seems to foretell of an Eagle Victory. Need I remind you of the staffs' familiarity with each other. Speed on Washington's defense should be accelerated as a result of the inside info. There could be long successful Philly drives that suddenly stall out.
Meaning this is an overtime game. Philadelphia wins 26.8 to 23.4 in OT. Washington covers by an eyelash. Take the over.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Remember Commanders Fans are family-friendly.