The Professor: Washington Plus the Over

The Philadelphia Eagles are 6-point favorites heading into the NFC Championship Game at Lincoln Financial Field. 

Eagles score 27.2 points a game. They give up 17.8. Washington scores 28.5 a game and gives up 23 a game. The average score the last five games between Philly and D.C. is Philly 30.4, Washington 29.6. That exceeds the over-under which is set at 47.5.

Eagles are 3-2 over that span. Skins are 1-1 in Jayden Daniels games.

The Public favor the Commanders covering in the game at 63 percent. The Public likes the Bills to cover on a short number at +1.5. If both win, it will mean a rematch of Super Bowl XXVI.

The Birds of course could earn a return engagement with the Kansas City Chiefs. And/or play the Bills for the first time in a Lombardi Trophy situation. 

The Numbers say Philly 26.9, Washington 25.3. Meaning at least by the numbers Washington covers. 

Here's CBS Sports predicting the game. True Business Review. Drew and Stew.

The 2010 Green Bay Packers won three road games and then the Super Bowl. That's the only team that comes to mind in comparing the achievements of the Commanders to Historical Super Bowl teams. Aaron Rodgers was not a rookie. 

Washington going all the way would be historic. While a rookie QB has won the league championship, no rookie QB has ever won the Super Bowl.

Not many would have predicted a historic year for the Commanders this past fall.

So I think the Commanders cover for sure. I'm tempted to side with the counter-intuitives who see a defensive struggle. These guys after three games out to know each other by now. Sometimes the third game is a dud. Either team could blow out the other.

But I think a lot of hair loss is involved in this game. Viral videos of these teams tearing their hair out is a good bet.

But you get two weeks off until the Super Bowl. Time enough to order some minoxidil. 

Triple OT. 

Tress Way returns an Eagle muff for the winning TD. 

Washington 43, Philly 37.