Wednesday, October 30, 2024

The Professor: Washington Wins, Covers and Take the Over

According to Wunderdog, Washington is at present a 3.5 point favorite over the New York Football Giants. The Over Under is 43.5. The Commanders are the most pounded by the Public with 72% backing Washington.

The Giants are 3-5 Against the Spread. Washington is 6-1-1.

This is Washington's first rematch of the year having beaten the G-Men at home in a close game. What adjustments will the Teams make? What has gotten better? What worse?

According to Stat Muse, Washington is 2-5-1 versus Giants QB Daniel Jones.

Both teams have injury issues on the O-Line. A worry for Washington is the Left Tackle Position.

Washington is 3rd in the NFL in scoring at 29.5. The Giants are 31st at 14.6. The Commanders are allowing 20.9 points a game. The Giants 21.9. The Commanders are 3rd in rushing, 10th in passing. The Giants are 23rd in passing and 24th in rushing. On Defense, both teams are in the top 10 versus the pass, but in the bottom ten against the run. 

There are two things I think can happen. Considering the Commanders are facing Daniel Jones their arch-nemesis, a letdown could occur due to hangover from the Miracle in Landover. Or the Miracle in Landover could be a launching pad. 

In the Eagles 28-3 victory over the G-Men, Philadelphia didn't bother with the pass much, amassing 269 yards rushing on 45 carries.  

Washington's defense is playing better when compared to their previous encounter with the Giants. I'm sure the Giants feel confident they can run the ball against the Commanders and vice versa. 

I'll take Washington to win. They cover. And they achieve the Over by an eyelash.

This will look familiar.

Commanders 26 Giants 18

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